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politics

One Nation, Australia: Contagion Dynamics

When the ambient communication system is saturated with noise, speed, and compression, ideologies that minimise internal degrees of freedom propagate more easily, not because they are robust but because they repeat cleanly. They return in recognisable form, align with their own prior expressions, and therefore hold attention. Under these conditions, order is produced less by explanation than by recurrence. A narrow set of cues and grievances circulates often enough to stabilise meaning, while more complex accounts disperse into overlapping signals that never quite arrive together. The order on offer is real, but it is purchased by displacing cost outward: difference is treated as error, ambiguity as weakness, dissent as obstruction. Exclusion is not incidental; it is how coherence is maintained when the field is under strain.

This makes the rise of One Nation less a political anomaly than a systems event. The movement does not persuade so much as synchronise. It answers instability by narrowing its range, and when confronted with the consequences of that narrowing, it responds again with further simplification. Problems generated by compression are met with more compression. What presents as decisiveness is, structurally, a refusal to vary. In Australia, the prevailing response has been reactive containment, treating each flare-up as an isolated occurrence rather than as an expression of the same underlying dynamic. That restraint is understandable, but it concedes the terrain. Without a clearer account of how repetition itself produces dominance in an overloaded environment, simplicity will continue to appear as strength, and thinner stories will keep winning simply because they return in step with themselves.

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