An observation on the strategic utility of a “cat’s breakfast” as Ukraine’s harlequin coat of diverse systems and logistical support requirements is that the cost in maintenance and integration is at least partially offset by the complexity that Russian forces must themselves absorb to be able to counter this variety. The second-order consequences of a […]
Putin has mastered a political game of Machiavellian command and control, of surveillance and power but he remains quite clearly overwhelmed by the unmanageable complexities of the war he has invoked and inflicted as much upon his own people as upon the peoples of Ukraine and, through them, of the free world. The danger of […]
The relationship between entropy and sustainable continuity in any undertaking resonates with John Boyd’s OODA loop. Indeed, the ability to “get inside” an adversary’s decision loops is quite directly related to the degree and extent of combinatorial entropy they face: information in (as structure, knowledge, order, certainty) is more or less symmetrically equivalent to entropy […]
Context: Seeing today that Russia might next invade Lithuania, some thoughts occur… While Putin is surely not the only unrepentant misanthrope at work here, Ukraine and all possibilities beyond remain his invasion, his war(s), and his bumbling catastrophe that seek in such imperialist atavism some kind of narcissistic self-aggrandisement. The brutal psychology of tribal warlords […]
Opportunities are the anchors that like grappling hooks we cast out and upon the stochastic turbulence and mercurial probabilities of uncertain futures and there, in identifying them, in defining or formulating the possibilities they invoke we do well not to forget all those other unrealised worlds that might also exist and which yet as ontological […]
Interesting to note, perhaps, that many if not most (although not necessarily all) political, ideological and/or strategic designs have an inadvertent – arguably unconscious – bias towards generating precisely the kinds of errors that optimally reproduce and self-validate themselves. The ways in which this error-encoding occurs and the sophistication with which it is engaged is […]
An ineradicable problem in the context of engaging disinformation is that, of all possible paths we might as a fledgling technological civilisation have taken through the vast forest of combinatorial possibility, we have arrived in and at a world in which partisan difference and deceptive, adversarial contests have become the methods by and through which […]
There was a mystical thread of thought in medieval philosophy called “apophasis”. This is an “un-saying” and reductive process of abstraction and recursively self-inflected introspection that may arrive at a goal of finding whatever is left after everything else is removed – God, enlightenment, essence, reality, certainty, truth; take your pick. Of course, we find […]
In any such competition of adversarial systems, the advantage surely goes to whoever has the most sophisticated conceptual model of the gestalt. This is to say – all of these systems and “systems of systems” have co-evolved as such intimately entangled artefacts, entities, technologies, institutional practices and pragmatic organisational constructs that they embody a unified […]
I found myself attempting to explain some subtle points of holistic systems strategic symmetry over lunch today, framed in the context of sporting teams. It seems very much not that my insights or reflections were incorrect so much as that the audience for them was inappropriate. Do you ever find that in explaining a complex […]
Context: The simple reasons online disinformation may never be fixed It is not only a question as of how best to engage the persistence of disinformation so much as it is of how the Global (as much as political or strategic) information-processing and media system has come in many ways to functionally depend upon the […]
Context: Is China Taking the Lead in AI? I guess it really depends on what we consider progress to be and in what ways such progress is substantive and meaningful or superficial and fragile. It may be an undeniable fact that competition and adversarial sabre-rattling is as profoundly and normatively written into our modern psyches […]
Daedelus Kite 